Hodd 1-0 Notodden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

Hodd
1-0 HT 1-0
Notodden
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Hodd vs Notodden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
13%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.83
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
74%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.3pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hodd v Notodden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Notodden EU Bookmakers 12%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +26%
2.53/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.82
-3% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +43%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
455 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.1

Hodd vs Notodden Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Notodden
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
15.06.2024 Notodden Notodden 0-4 HT 0-3 Hodd Hodd NOR3
29.08.2012 Hodd Hodd 2-1 HT 1-1 Notodden Notodden NOR1
15.07.2012 Notodden Notodden 2-2 HT 2-2 Hodd Hodd NOR1
29.06.2008 Notodden Notodden 5-1 HT 2-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Notodden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd squeezed past Notodden 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hodd as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hodd had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Hodd and 2.00 for Notodden.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Notodden?

Hodd 1-0 Notodden in the Norway - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Notodden?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hodd win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Hodd 69%, draw 18%, Notodden 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hodd), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hodd) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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