Sotra SK 4-0 Vard Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.75
6+ Goals
16%
7.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sotra SK EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vard Haugesund EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.70
-27% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sotra SK
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vard Haugesund
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2 Corners 3
20.04.2024 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 1-1 HT 1-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
13.08.2022 Sotra SK Sotra SK 5-2 HT 3-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
11.06.2022 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 0-2 HT 0-0 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
06.11.2021 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund 2-1 HT 0-1 Sotra SK Sotra SK NOR3
11.07.2021 Sotra SK Sotra SK 0-2 HT 0-1 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
31.10.2020 Sotra SK Sotra SK 2-3 HT 1-2 Vard Haugesund Vard Haugesund NOR3
POST-MATCH Sotra SK vs Vard Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sotra SK cruised past Vard Haugesund 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sotra SK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vard Haugesund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sotra SK and 1.67 for Vard Haugesund.

What was the final score of Sotra SK vs Vard Haugesund?

Sotra SK 4-0 Vard Haugesund in the Norway - 2nd Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sotra SK vs Vard Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sotra SK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sotra SK 48%, draw 22%, Vard Haugesund 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sotra SK), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sotra SK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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