Arendal 3-2 Jerv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 13 Aug 2025

Arendal
3-2 HT 1-0
Jerv
📅13/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
42%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
42%
-15.1pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.3pp
42%
Away Win
34%
+7.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.5pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arendal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jerv EU Bookmakers 38%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arendal
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Jerv
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2025 Jerv Jerv 1-1 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
07.02.2025 Jerv Jerv 2-2 Arendal Arendal HAZ
14.09.2024 Jerv Jerv 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
16.05.2024 Arendal Arendal 3-3 HT 1-2 Jerv Jerv NOR3
01.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-1 HT 0-1 Jerv Jerv NOK
16.08.2017 Jerv Jerv 2-3 HT 1-2 Arendal Arendal NOR1
POST-MATCH Arendal vs Jerv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal squeezed past Jerv 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Jerv at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jerv led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arendal and 2.00 for Jerv.

What was the final score of Arendal vs Jerv?

Arendal 3-2 Jerv in the Norway - NM Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arendal vs Jerv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jerv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Arendal 27%, draw 31%, Jerv 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jerv) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jerv) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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