Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Polonia Bytom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.62
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 37%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.01/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/0.76
-30% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +67%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Warszawa
2-1
AWAY Polonia Bytom
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa edged past Polonia Bytom 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Polonia Warszawa had 51% of the ball to Polonia Bytom's 49%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom?

Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Polonia Bytom in the Poland - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Warszawa vs Polonia Bytom?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Polonia Warszawa 36%, draw 27%, Polonia Bytom 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✗ Under 2.5
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