Pogon Siedlce 3-1 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
28%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -6%
1.10/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.32
-8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Lodzki KS
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS POL1
13.09.2024 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
3-1
AWAY Lodzki KS
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pogon Siedlce vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce beat Lodzki KS 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lodzki KS at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 49% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 51%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lodzki KS led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 1.50 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Lodzki KS?

Pogon Siedlce 3-1 Lodzki KS in the Poland - 1st Division on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lodzki KS win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 25%, draw 27%, Lodzki KS 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lodzki KS) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lodzki KS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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