Radnik Surdulica 2-0 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 29%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.33/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.40
-23% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
281 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 68%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
18.6 Crosses 17.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.90 xG 1.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
250 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
01.12.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
07.08.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
30.10.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
15.07.2022 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
02.05.2022 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 2-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2-0
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.08 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
207 Passes 226
66% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radnik Surdulica vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnik Surdulica beat Spartak Subotica 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Radnik Surdulica as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 47% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 53%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.08 to 1.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnik Surdulica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 0.50 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Spartak Subotica?

Radnik Surdulica 2-0 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 47%, draw 26%, Spartak Subotica 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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