Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-1 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.4pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 25%
+5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
1.79/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.52
+11% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.7 Crosses 12.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.63 xG 2.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
252 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 5-2 HT 2-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
08.03.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
18.10.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-3 HT 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
09.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2-1
AWAY Backa Topola
1.58 xG 0.46
40% Ball Possession 60%
14 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
251 Passes 409
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac edged past Backa Topola 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 40% of the ball to Backa Topola's 60%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.58 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.67 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-1 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 50%, draw 21%, Backa Topola 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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