Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.1
Over 2.5
60%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.68/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.09
+50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 80%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.9 Crosses 13.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.11 xG 2.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
291 Passes 354
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-3 HT 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
09.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-4 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
02.03.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-2 HT 0-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-3
AWAY Backa Topola
1.00 xG 3.54
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 202
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola got the better of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 20% / 39% — and on the day Backa Topola made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 57% of the ball to Backa Topola's 43%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.00 to 3.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 1.83 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 41%, draw 20%, Backa Topola 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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