Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.44/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.12
+14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
22.4 Crosses 15.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napredak Krusevac
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.60 xG 1.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
204 Passes 346
64% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-0 HT 0-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
02.05.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
01.03.2024 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 2-1 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
22.11.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
04.11.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
24.07.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napredak Krusevac
2-1
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
0.97 xG 0.91
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 7
149 Passes 402
63% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 36
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napredak Krusevac edged past Cukaricki Stankom 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Napredak Krusevac found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Napredak Krusevac had 33% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 67%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.97 to 0.91.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cukaricki Stankom led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Napredak Krusevac and 0.83 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Napredak Krusevac 2-1 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napredak Krusevac win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Napredak Krusevac 37%, draw 27%, Cukaricki Stankom 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Napredak Krusevac) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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