FK Partizan 3-2 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 8 Mar 2025

📅08/03/2025 · 🕒20:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Partizan EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.85/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.94
+30% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 73%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
18.5 Crosses 11.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Partizan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.48 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
368 Passes 317
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 3-4 HT 2-2 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
07.04.2024 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
06.11.2023 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
08.05.2023 FK Partizan FK Partizan 2-0 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
13.11.2022 FK Partizan FK Partizan 1-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
29.07.2022 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Partizan FK Partizan SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Partizan
3-2
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.58 xG 0.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
413 Passes 357
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 22
4 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Partizan squeezed past Novi Pazar 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Partizan as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Partizan had 53% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 47%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 1.58 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Partizan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Partizan and 0.67 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

FK Partizan 3-2 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 08/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Partizan win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split FK Partizan 58%, draw 25%, Novi Pazar 17%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Partizan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Partizan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SIRP More Serbia - Super League
8 Mar 2025
15:00 Napredak Krusevac vs Cukaricki Stankom Analysis →
18:00 Radnicki Nis vs Kızılyıldız Analysis →
21:00 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola Analysis →