Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 5-2 Backa Topola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +21%
1.61/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.02
+31% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
21.5 Crosses 12.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Backa Topola
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.22 xG 2.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
292 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-3 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
18.10.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 4-3 HT 3-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
09.12.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-0 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.08.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.05.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-4 HT 1-2 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
5-2
AWAY Backa Topola
3.76 xG 0.77
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
149 Passes 306
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
29 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac cruised past Backa Topola 5-2. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 37% of the ball to Backa Topola's 63%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 3.76 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac and 2.00 for Backa Topola.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 5-2 Backa Topola in the Serbia - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Backa Topola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 40%, draw 27%, Backa Topola 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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