OFK Beograd 2-3 Novi Pazar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.94
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
30%
+9.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.2pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.39/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.20
+90% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -9%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 80%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
23.2 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OFK Beograd
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
329 Passes 285
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2024 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 1-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
03.08.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 0-0 HT 0-0 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd SIRP
31.08.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 3-2 HT 1-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
15.03.2014 OFK Beograd OFK Beograd 0-1 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OFK Beograd
2-3
AWAY Novi Pazar
1.92 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
187 Passes 267
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar edged past OFK Beograd 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Novi Pazar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, OFK Beograd had 45% of the ball to Novi Pazar's 55%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.92 to 1.32 — on chances, OFK Beograd could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for OFK Beograd and 1.00 for Novi Pazar.

What was the final score of OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?

OFK Beograd 2-3 Novi Pazar in the Serbia - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OFK Beograd vs Novi Pazar?

Before kick-off our model rated a OFK Beograd win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split OFK Beograd 39%, draw 24%, Novi Pazar 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFK Beograd) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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