Hammam-Sousse 1-0 Baath Bouhajla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammam-Sousse EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Baath Bouhajla EU Bookmakers 23%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.55
-26% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +139%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 4.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammam-Sousse
1-0
AWAY Baath Bouhajla
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hammam-Sousse vs Baath Bouhajla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammam-Sousse edged past Baath Bouhajla 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammam-Sousse as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Hammam-Sousse had 60% of the ball to Baath Bouhajla's 40%, shots finished 8-3.

What was the final score of Hammam-Sousse vs Baath Bouhajla?

Hammam-Sousse 1-0 Baath Bouhajla in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammam-Sousse vs Baath Bouhajla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammam-Sousse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hammam-Sousse 52%, draw 25%, Baath Bouhajla 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammam-Sousse), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammam-Sousse) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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