EM Mahdia 1-2 Msaken — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.33
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+6.5pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.2pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EM Mahdia EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Msaken EU Bookmakers 32%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
0.92/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.58
-22% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EM Mahdia
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Msaken
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
09.03.2025 EM Mahdia 0-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
16.11.2024 Msaken Msaken 1-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
01.04.2023 Msaken Msaken 1-0 HT 0-0 EM Mahdia TUN2
20.11.2022 EM Mahdia 2-1 HT 2-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2
05.03.2022 EM Mahdia 1-0 Msaken Msaken TUN2A
04.12.2021 Msaken Msaken 1-0 EM Mahdia TUN2A
POST-MATCH EM Mahdia vs Msaken
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Msaken squeezed past EM Mahdia 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was EM Mahdia at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Msaken led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for EM Mahdia and 0.67 for Msaken.

What was the final score of EM Mahdia vs Msaken?

EM Mahdia 1-2 Msaken in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EM Mahdia vs Msaken?

Before kick-off our model rated a EM Mahdia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split EM Mahdia 46%, draw 30%, Msaken 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EM Mahdia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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