Panserraikos 0-2 AE Larissa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 25 Oct 2025

📅25/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 35% vs market 31.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.33
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
11%
12.85
X/1
17%
5.1
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
10%
3.99
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
16%
4.89
2/X
5%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AE Larissa EU Bookmakers 33%
+11% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.57/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.17
+29% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
19.7 Crosses 17.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
3W-2D-1L
AWAY AE Larissa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2025 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos HAZ
26.09.2024 AE Larissa AE Larissa 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUK
30.01.2011 AE Larissa AE Larissa 2-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
03.10.2010 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 1-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUN
25.01.2009 AE Larissa AE Larissa 1-1 HT 1-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
21.01.2009 Panserraikos Panserraikos 1-0 HT 0-0 AE Larissa AE Larissa YUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
0-2
AWAY AE Larissa
0.40 xG 1.51
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
205 Passes 391
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs AE Larissa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AE Larissa saw off Panserraikos 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Panserraikos at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Panserraikos had 38% of the ball to AE Larissa's 62%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.40 to 1.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Panserraikos had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Panserraikos and 0.67 for AE Larissa.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs AE Larissa?

Panserraikos 0-2 AE Larissa in the Greece - Super League on 25/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs AE Larissa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panserraikos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 41%, draw 27%, AE Larissa 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Panserraikos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panserraikos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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