Newcastle United 0-2 West Ham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

Newcastle United
0-2 HT 0-1
West Ham United
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newcastle United vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.31
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
6.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.6
X/1
22%
3.93
X/2
7%
12.3
X/X
7%
7.0
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
2/2
7%
8.6
2/X
7%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.1pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+1.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newcastle United v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
2.11/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.07
-4% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.9 Crosses 16.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Newcastle United vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
2W-3D-1L
AWAY West Ham United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.17 xG 1.35
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 Passes 276
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 4-3 HT 1-2 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
08.10.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 2-2 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
05.04.2023 West Ham United West Ham United 1-5 HT 1-2 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
04.02.2023 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-1 HT 1-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP
19.02.2022 West Ham United West Ham United 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
15.08.2021 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-4 HT 2-1 West Ham United West Ham United İNP

Newcastle United 0-2 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United
0-2
AWAY West Ham United
1.64 xG 0.86
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
433 Passes 390
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
40 Box Touches 17
35 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Newcastle United vs West Ham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Ham United beat Newcastle United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Newcastle United carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Newcastle United had 53% of the ball to West Ham United's 47%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 1.64 to 0.86 — on chances, Newcastle United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Newcastle United and 2.00 for West Ham United.

What was the final score of Newcastle United vs West Ham United?

Newcastle United 0-2 West Ham United in the England - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United vs West Ham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 58%, draw 22%, West Ham United 19%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Newcastle United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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