Athletic Carpi 1-2 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Nov 2024

Athletic Carpi
1-2 HT 1-1
Ternana
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2024/2025

Athletic Carpi vs Ternana Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.8
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
4.27
6+ Goals
11%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 32% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Carpi v Ternana — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Carpi EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 54%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +19%
0.99/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.70
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +36%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0

Athletic Carpi 1-2 Ternana — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Carpi
1-2
AWAY Ternana
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Carpi vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana nicked a narrow win over Athletic Carpi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Carpi had 48% of the ball to Ternana's 52%, shots finished 9-18.

What was the final score of Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?

Athletic Carpi 1-2 Ternana in the Italy - Serie C on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Carpi vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Athletic Carpi 27%, draw 23%, Ternana 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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