Lucchese 2-1 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lucchese EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.34/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.22
+11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lucchese
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Pontedera
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.03.2024 Pontedera Pontedera 2-2 HT 0-1 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
29.10.2023 Lucchese Lucchese 1-2 HT 1-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
15.01.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
14.09.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 1-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
20.02.2022 Lucchese Lucchese 1-2 HT 1-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
16.10.2021 Pontedera Pontedera 2-3 HT 2-2 Lucchese Lucchese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lucchese
2-1
AWAY Pontedera
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lucchese vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lucchese edged past Pontedera 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Lucchese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lucchese had 41% of the ball to Pontedera's 59%, shots finished 13-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontedera led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lucchese and 1.50 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Lucchese vs Pontedera?

Lucchese 2-1 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lucchese vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lucchese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Lucchese 36%, draw 33%, Pontedera 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lucchese), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lucchese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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