East Riffa 0-2 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.95
Over
44%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.64
2-3
42%
1.83
4-5
18%
3.38
6+
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.5pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME East Riffa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 43%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.46/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.13
+20% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME East Riffa
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Sitra
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
23.12.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
09.03.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 0-2 HT 0-2 Sitra Sitra BAH
14.12.2022 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME East Riffa
0-2
AWAY Sitra
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH East Riffa vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sitra saw off East Riffa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Sitra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, East Riffa had 52% of the ball to Sitra's 48%, shots finished 12-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for East Riffa and 1.00 for Sitra.

What was the final score of East Riffa vs Sitra?

East Riffa 0-2 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for East Riffa vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sitra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split East Riffa 33%, draw 29%, Sitra 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sitra), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sitra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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