Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Mekelakeya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

Mebrat Hayl
1-1
Mekelakeya
📅25/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Etiyopya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
23%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-9.5pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mebrat Hayl v Mekelakeya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelakeya EU Bookmakers 60%
+72% / +72% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+23% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -65%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
163 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Mekelakeya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-1
AWAY Mekelakeya
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl and Mekelakeya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mekelakeya at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 37% of the ball to Mekelakeya's 63%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya?

Mebrat Hayl 1-1 Mekelakeya in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Mekelakeya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mekelakeya win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 22%, draw 32%, Mekelakeya 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mekelakeya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelakeya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ETH More Etiyopya - Premier League
25 Nov 2024
00:00 Ethiopia Electricity vs Mekelakeya Analysis →
16:00 Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna Analysis →