Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.41
Over 2.5
30%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.27
No
69%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
48%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.3pp
38%
Draw
31%
+6.4pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
67%
+3.0pp
30%
Over 2.5
33%
-3.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-9.0pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hadiya Hosaena EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna EU Bookmakers 40%
-53% / -53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.63/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.42
-45% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 0
03.07.2024 Hadiya Hosaena Hadiya Hosaena 2-1 Ethiopia Bunna Ethiopia Bunna ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hadiya Hosaena
1-0
AWAY Ethiopia Bunna
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hadiya Hosaena squeezed past Ethiopia Bunna 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 38% / 34% — and on the day Hadiya Hosaena made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

On the day, Hadiya Hosaena had 30% of the ball to Ethiopia Bunna's 70%, shots finished 3-5.

What was the final score of Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Hadiya Hosaena 1-0 Ethiopia Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hadiya Hosaena 28%, draw 38%, Ethiopia Bunna 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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