Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 25 Nov 2024

📅25/11/2024 · 🕒15:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.75/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.28
+8% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Faisaly
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Safa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 3-1 HT 2-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
12.11.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Faisaly
1-2
AWAY Al Safa
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Faisaly vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Safa nicked a narrow win over Al Faisaly 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Faisaly at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Faisaly had 48% of the ball to Al Safa's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Faisaly and 1.50 for Al Safa.

What was the final score of Al Faisaly vs Al Safa?

Al Faisaly 1-2 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 25/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Faisaly vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Faisaly 49%, draw 24%, Al Safa 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Faisaly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD1 More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
25 Nov 2024
15:15 Al Najma vs Al Hazm Analysis →
18:00 Al Jabalain vs Al Tai Analysis →
18:20 Jeddah Club vs Al Jubail Analysis →