Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Horsham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Nov 2025

Ebbsfleet United
1-2 HT 0-1
Horsham
📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
36%
1.76
4-5 Goals
26%
3.4
6+ Goals
7%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Horsham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Horsham EU Bookmakers 28%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.69/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.84
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +78%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
383 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5

Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Horsham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
1-2
AWAY Horsham
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Horsham edged past Ebbsfleet United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 61% of the ball to Horsham's 39%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

Ebbsfleet United 1-2 Horsham in the England - Conference on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Horsham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 44%, draw 28%, Horsham 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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