Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Nov 2025

📅25/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -3%
1.58/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.24
+11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chelmsford City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2025 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İNFAT
10.02.2025 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
21.10.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
20.02.2024 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
04.09.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town İCON
22.04.2023 Hemel Hempstead Town Hemel Hempstead Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hemel Hempstead Town
2-1
AWAY Chelmsford City
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hemel Hempstead Town edged past Chelmsford City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hemel Hempstead Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hemel Hempstead Town had 52% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 48%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hemel Hempstead Town and 1.17 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City?

Hemel Hempstead Town 2-1 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 25/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hemel Hempstead Town vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hemel Hempstead Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hemel Hempstead Town 41%, draw 26%, Chelmsford City 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hemel Hempstead Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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