Neom SC 2-1 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Dec 2025

📅25/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.75
6+ Goals
10%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
72%
-7.3pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.2pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neom SC EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 14%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.40/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/2.53
-59% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -12%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
482 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.0 Crosses 12.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neom SC
2-1
AWAY Najma
1.91 xG 1.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
418 Passes 338
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Neom SC vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neom SC squeezed past Najma 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neom SC as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Neom SC had 55% of the ball to Najma's 45%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.91 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Neom SC vs Najma?

Neom SC 2-1 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neom SC vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neom SC win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Neom SC 65%, draw 20%, Najma 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neom SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neom SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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