Al Riyadh 0-2 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 25 Dec 2025

📅25/12/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.1pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +10%
0.83/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.05
-30% / +96% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 81%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.9 Crosses 17.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.58 xG 0.97
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
285 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
24.11.2024 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
06.04.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
22.10.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
0-2
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.56 xG 2.20
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 2
222 Passes 506
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ettifaq got the better of Al Riyadh 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Al Ettifaq found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 34% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 66%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.56 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Al Ettifaq led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Al Riyadh and 0.50 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Riyadh 0-2 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 25/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 32%, draw 28%, Al Ettifaq 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ettifaq), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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