Hannover 96 3-0 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 24% vs market 19.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.4
X/2
12%
8.25
X/X
13%
5.29
2/1
8%
22.15
2/2
10%
5.78
2/X
5%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.75/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.68
+16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
366 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.8 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Nürnberg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.98 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
335 Passes 306
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-2 HT 0-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
29.04.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
22.10.2022 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
13.03.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-3 HT 0-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
02.10.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
23.05.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-2 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
3-0
AWAY Nürnberg
4.20 xG 0.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
29 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
318 Passes 346
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
54 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 ran out comfortable winners over Nürnberg 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 49% of the ball to Nürnberg's 51%, shots finished 29-13, expected goals 4.20 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nürnberg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.17 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Nürnberg?

Hannover 96 3-0 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 47%, draw 25%, Nürnberg 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5
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