Kaiserslautern 4-1 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 26 Jan 2024

Kaiserslautern
4-1 HT 1-0
Schalke 04
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.57
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
13%
5.73
X/2
16%
5.63
X/X
16%
5.18
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
12%
3.48
2/X
8%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.4pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaiserslautern v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.70
-8% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.0 Crosses 22.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6

Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaiserslautern
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
35% Ball Possession 65%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
05.08.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-0 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
18.03.2012 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 1-4 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
15.10.2011 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
23.04.2011 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 0-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1
27.11.2010 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 5-0 HT 2-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
29.01.2006 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-2 HT 0-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1

Kaiserslautern 4-1 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kaiserslautern
4-1
AWAY Schalke 04
2.19 xG 1.10
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
195 Passes 373
64% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern ran out comfortable winners over Schalke 04 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kaiserslautern found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kaiserslautern had 40% of the ball to Schalke 04's 60%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.19 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kaiserslautern and 1.67 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04?

Kaiserslautern 4-1 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaiserslautern vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaiserslautern win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kaiserslautern 36%, draw 30%, Schalke 04 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaiserslautern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kaiserslautern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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