Boussu Dour Borinage 3-0 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

Boussu Dour Borinage
3-0 HT 2-0
Waasland-Beveren
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Boussu Dour Borinage vs Waasland-Beveren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
58%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
1.95
Over 2.5
61%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.27
6+ Goals
14%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-2.1pp
19%
Draw
25%
-6.1pp
59%
Away Win
50%
+8.2pp
39%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boussu Dour Borinage v Waasland-Beveren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 55%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
0.80/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.88
-55% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
20.6 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Boussu Dour Borinage vs Waasland-Beveren Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.90 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
317 Passes 448
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 26
11 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 3-0 HT 2-0 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2

Boussu Dour Borinage 3-0 Waasland-Beveren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
3-0
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
2.38 xG 1.48
40% Ball Possession 60%
22 Total Shots 20
11 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 5
246 Passes 421
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
36 Box Touches 34
32 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boussu Dour Borinage ran out comfortable winners over Waasland-Beveren 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

This one beat our numbers. Waasland-Beveren carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 40% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 60%, shots finished 22-20, expected goals 2.38 to 1.48.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs Waasland-Beveren?

Boussu Dour Borinage 3-0 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated an Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 23%, draw 19%, Waasland-Beveren 59%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Waasland-Beveren), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
26 Jan 2024
22:00 Standard Liege II vs Lommel United Analysis →