Londrina 3-3 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paranaense 1, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
43%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Londrina The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba The Market 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.92/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.86
-49% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Londrina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Coritiba
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.16
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
269 Passes 347
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
16.02.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Londrina Londrina BRPR
10.02.2022 Londrina Londrina 1-3 HT 1-3 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR
02.09.2021 Londrina Londrina 2-3 HT 2-2 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
14.06.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 Londrina Londrina BR2
10.05.2021 Londrina Londrina 1-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BRPR1
14.09.2019 Londrina Londrina 2-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Londrina
3-3
AWAY Coritiba
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 12
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Londrina vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Londrina and Coritiba shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Londrina at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Londrina had 39% of the ball to Coritiba's 61%, shots finished 9-26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Londrina and 1.50 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Londrina vs Coritiba?

Londrina 3-3 Coritiba in the Brazil - Paranaense 1 on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Londrina vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Londrina win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Londrina 41%, draw 29%, Coritiba 30%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Londrina), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Londrina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BRPR More Brazil - Paranaense 1
26 Jan 2024
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