PSTC 1-1 Independiente FSJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paranaense 1, 26 Jan 2024

PSTC
1-1 HT 0-1
Independiente FSJ
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Paranaense 1 – 2024

PSTC vs Independiente FSJ Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
13%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PSTC v Independiente FSJ — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSTC The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente FSJ The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -41% / -41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.5

PSTC 1-1 Independiente FSJ — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSTC
1-1
AWAY Independiente FSJ
63% Ball Possession 37%
25 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 0
POST-MATCH PSTC vs Independiente FSJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSTC and Independiente FSJ couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSTC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PSTC had 63% of the ball to Independiente FSJ's 37%, shots finished 25-11.

What was the final score of PSTC vs Independiente FSJ?

PSTC 1-1 Independiente FSJ in the Brazil - Paranaense 1 on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSTC vs Independiente FSJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSTC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split PSTC 49%, draw 29%, Independiente FSJ 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSTC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSTC) ✓ Under 2.5
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