ES Setif 2-1 CS Constantine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
5.13
6+ Goals
9%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Setif EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CS Constantine EU Bookmakers 30%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.23/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.94
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Setif
4W-1D-1L
AWAY CS Constantine
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.03.2023 CS Constantine CS Constantine 2-0 HT 2-0 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
02.10.2022 ES Setif ES Setif 0-0 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
24.12.2021 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 1-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
01.07.2021 ES Setif ES Setif 1-0 HT 0-0 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYR
22.01.2021 CS Constantine CS Constantine 0-1 HT 0-1 ES Setif ES Setif CZYR
13.02.2020 ES Setif ES Setif 2-1 HT 0-1 CS Constantine CS Constantine CZYRK
POST-MATCH ES Setif vs CS Constantine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Setif squeezed past CS Constantine 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ES Setif as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Setif had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Setif and 0.50 for CS Constantine.

What was the final score of ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

ES Setif 2-1 CS Constantine in the Algeria - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Setif vs CS Constantine?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Setif win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split ES Setif 44%, draw 27%, CS Constantine 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Setif) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Setif) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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