USM Khenchela 1-2 Paradou — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.38
Over 2.5
37%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
1.84
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
6.9
6+ Goals
6%
58.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
69%
-6.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
31%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.3pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradou EU Bookmakers 28%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +6%
1.71/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/0.93
+37% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Paradou
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
01.04.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 3-0 HT 2-0 Paradou Paradou CZYR
02.10.2022 Paradou Paradou 0-1 HT 0-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM Khenchela
1-2
AWAY Paradou
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs Paradou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradou squeezed past USM Khenchela 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was USM Khenchela at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, USM Khenchela had 54% of the ball to Paradou's 46%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM Khenchela had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for USM Khenchela and 0.00 for Paradou.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs Paradou?

USM Khenchela 1-2 Paradou in the Algeria - 1st Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs Paradou?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 43%, draw 34%, Paradou 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CZYR More Algeria - 1st Division
26 Jan 2024
18:45 ES Setif vs CS Constantine Analysis →
19:00 MC Oran vs MC Alger Analysis →