Epinal 1-2 Nancy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Jan 2024

Epinal
1-2 HT 1-0
Nancy
📅26/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.49
6+ Goals
8%
24.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.84
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
12%
6.18
X/2
17%
4.63
X/X
14%
3.96
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.23
2/X
5%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Epinal EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Nancy EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.69/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.16
+47% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Epinal
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Nancy
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
6 Corners 5
18.08.2023 Nancy Nancy 2-2 HT 1-1 Epinal Epinal FR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Epinal
1-2
AWAY Nancy
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Epinal vs Nancy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nancy squeezed past Epinal 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Nancy made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Epinal had 46% of the ball to Nancy's 54%, shots finished 15-17.

What was the final score of Epinal vs Nancy?

Epinal 1-2 Nancy in the France - National League 1 on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Epinal vs Nancy?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nancy win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Epinal 36%, draw 25%, Nancy 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nancy) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nancy) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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