Niort 0-0 Chateauroux — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 1, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2 EV+ ✗
18%
6.63
X/X
13%
4.11
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.05
2/X
9%
13.55
Value flag · X/2 at 6.63 — our 18% vs market 11.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niort EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Chateauroux EU Bookmakers 32%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.99/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.28
+40% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niort
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Chateauroux
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.60 xG 1.99
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
306 Passes 307
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-0 HT 1-0 Niort Niort FR3
05.02.2021 Niort Niort 1-1 HT 0-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FR2
03.10.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 2-0 HT 1-0 Niort Niort FR2
24.01.2020 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Niort Niort FR2
16.11.2019 Chateauroux Chateauroux 1-1 HT 1-1 Niort Niort FRK
13.08.2019 Niort Niort 3-1 HT 1-1 Chateauroux Chateauroux FRLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niort
0-0
AWAY Chateauroux
64% Ball Possession 36%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Niort vs Chateauroux
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Niort and Chateauroux fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Niort had 64% of the ball to Chateauroux's 36%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chateauroux led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Niort and 1.33 for Chateauroux.

What was the final score of Niort vs Chateauroux?

Niort 0-0 Chateauroux in the France - National League 1 on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niort vs Chateauroux?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niort win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Niort 38%, draw 28%, Chateauroux 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Niort) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niort) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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