Middlesbrough U21 0-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.39
No
34%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.9pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+8.3pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-1.4pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
0-1
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
3.13 xG 1.59
69% Ball Possession 31%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
436 Passes 144
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

West Bromwich Albion U21 squeezed past Middlesbrough U21 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 69% of the ball to West Bromwich Albion U21's 31%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 3.13 to 1.59 — the balance of chances actually favoured Middlesbrough U21.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Middlesbrough U21 0-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 46%, draw 23%, West Bromwich Albion U21 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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