Carrick Rangers 0-1 Cliftonville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.08
1/2
6%
22.15
1/X
4%
14.9
X/1
7%
9.46
X/2
18%
4.05
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
28%
2.17
2/X
9%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
52%
Away Win
55%
-2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Cliftonville EU Bookmakers 59%
-11% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.02/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.34
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrick Rangers
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Cliftonville
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.11.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 0-3 HT 0-1 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
19.08.2023 Cliftonville Cliftonville 4-0 HT 3-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
13.01.2023 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 3-3 HT 1-3 Cliftonville Cliftonville KİRL
29.10.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
04.10.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 6-0 HT 2-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRLK
20.08.2022 Cliftonville Cliftonville 3-2 HT 1-2 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrick Rangers
0-1
AWAY Cliftonville
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cliftonville edged past Carrick Rangers 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cliftonville as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Carrick Rangers had 32% of the ball to Cliftonville's 68%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cliftonville led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Carrick Rangers and 3.33 for Cliftonville.

What was the final score of Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?

Carrick Rangers 0-1 Cliftonville in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cliftonville win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Carrick Rangers 24%, draw 24%, Cliftonville 52%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cliftonville) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cliftonville) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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