Larne FC 3-0 Newry City AFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.0
2-3 Goals
38%
2.05
4-5 Goals
28%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.24
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
34.0
X/1
23%
3.33
X/2
4%
34.0
X/X
9%
11.7
2/1
8%
24.7
2/2
5%
29.0
2/X
5%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
80%
-13.0pp
19%
Draw
13%
+6.2pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.8pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Newry City AFC EU Bookmakers 9%
-11% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
2.37/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.56
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Newry City AFC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 1-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
02.09.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 4-0 HT 3-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
29.01.2023 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.12.2022 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC KİRL
07.10.2022 Newry City AFC Newry City AFC 0-2 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Larne FC
3-0
AWAY Newry City AFC
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Newry City AFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC swept aside Newry City AFC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Larne FC had 65% of the ball to Newry City AFC's 35%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Larne FC and 0.20 for Newry City AFC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Newry City AFC?

Larne FC 3-0 Newry City AFC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Newry City AFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 67%, draw 19%, Newry City AFC 13%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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