Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Aguilas Doradas v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas edged past Once Caldas 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 51% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, possession split 59% to 41% in Aguilas Doradas's favour, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.49 to 0.29.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Aguilas Doradas against 1.50 for Once Caldas.
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas Result & Final Score
Aguilas Doradas 1 - 0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 56%, draw 26%, Once Caldas 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.