Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aguilas Doradas v Once Caldas — Team-Based Signals
Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Once Caldas
KOL
1-2
HT 0-1
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
2-0
HT 2-0
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
1-1
HT 0-1
Once Caldas
KOL
2-3
HT 1-2
Aguilas Doradas
KOL
2-2
HT 1-1
Once Caldas
KOL
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Once Caldas — Actual Match Statistics
Aguilas Doradas edged past Once Caldas 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aguilas Doradas as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 59% of the ball to Once Caldas's 41%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.49 to 0.29.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.50 for Once Caldas.
What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas?
Aguilas Doradas 1-0 Once Caldas in the Colombia - Primera on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Once Caldas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 50%, draw 28%, Once Caldas 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.