Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Jan 2024

📅26/01/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
Crosses 11.5
Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.11.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLB
08.09.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLB
23.04.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOLB
25.03.2023 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
2-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.33 xG 0.58
68% Ball Possession 32%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
446 Passes 160
89% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF beat Patriotas Boyaca 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 68% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 32%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 1.33 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.00 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 46%, draw 30%, Patriotas Boyaca 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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