26/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Arabi vs Al Sulaibikhat Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
82%
22%
Draw
11%
20%
Away Win
7%
44%
Under 2.5
40%
56%
Over 2.5
60%
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
54%
BTTS No
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Arabi v Al Sulaibikhat — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Arabi
EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Sulaibikhat
EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
-8%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
60%
Ball Possession
40%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
461 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
239 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Arabi vs Al Sulaibikhat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Arabi edged past Al Sulaibikhat 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arabi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Arabi vs Al Sulaibikhat?
Arabi 1-0 Al Sulaibikhat in the Kuwait - Emir Cup on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Arabi vs Al Sulaibikhat?
Before kick-off our model rated a Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Arabi 59%, draw 22%, Al Sulaibikhat 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arabi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Arabi)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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KUVEK
More Kuwait - Emir Cup
26 Jan 2024