26/01/2024
·
15:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Afief vs Mudhar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
39%
4-5
16%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
53%
23%
Draw
24%
36%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afief v Mudhar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Afief
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mudhar
The Market 27%
-49% /
-49%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-13%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
443 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
262 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Afief vs Mudhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Afief and Mudhar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Afief vs Mudhar?
Afief 2-2 Mudhar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afief vs Mudhar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Afief win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Afief 40%, draw 23%, Mudhar 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Afief) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Afief)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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SUUD2
More Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division
26 Jan 2024