26/01/2024
·
15:55
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Najran vs Al Suqoor Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
20%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
49%
Home Win
48%
22%
Draw
28%
29%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Najran v Al Suqoor — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Najran
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Suqoor
The Market 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
330 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
224 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Najran vs Al Suqoor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Najran squeezed past Al Suqoor 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Najran as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Najran vs Al Suqoor?
Najran 2-1 Al Suqoor in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 26/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Najran vs Al Suqoor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Najran win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Najran 49%, draw 22%, Al Suqoor 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Najran) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Najran)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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26 Jan 2024