Leicester City WFC (K) 2-1 Liverpool (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.74
Over 2.5
37%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.85
No
63%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
24%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.9pp
37%
BTTS Yes
50%
-13.2pp
63%
BTTS No
50%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.85/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.78
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -84% / +80%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
189 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.6
10.0 Crosses 28.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Liverpool (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.54 xG 1.54
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
278 Passes 378
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKPL
18.05.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) İNKPL
09.03.2024 Liverpool (K) Liverpool (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKFAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
2-1
AWAY Liverpool (K)
1.10 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
183 Passes 399
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Liverpool (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City WFC (K) nicked a narrow win over Liverpool (K) 2-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Leicester City WFC (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 37% of the ball to Liverpool (K)'s 63%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.10 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leicester City WFC (K) and 1.67 for Liverpool (K).

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 2-1 Liverpool (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Liverpool (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 32%, draw 28%, Liverpool (K) 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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