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Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea (K) v Arsenal (K) — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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2-1
HT 0-1
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Arsenal (K)
İNKPL
1-2
HT 0-1
Chelsea (K)
İNKPL
0-5
HT 0-2
Arsenal (K)
İNKPL
1-1
HT 1-1
Chelsea (K)
İNKPL
Chelsea (K) 1-0 Arsenal (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Chelsea (K) squeezed past Arsenal (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Chelsea (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Chelsea (K) had 46% of the ball to Arsenal (K)'s 54%, shots finished 21-10, expected goals 2.94 to 1.26 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Chelsea (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chelsea (K) and 1.67 for Arsenal (K).
What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Chelsea (K) 1-0 Arsenal (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Arsenal (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 39%, draw 25%, Arsenal (K) 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.