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Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barcelona (K) v Real Madrid (K) — Team-Based Signals
Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
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5-2
HT 1-1
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Real Madrid (K)
ŞMP-K
1-3
HT 1-0
Barcelona (K)
ŞMP-K
Barcelona (K) 5-0 Real Madrid (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Barcelona (K) cruised past Real Madrid (K) 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barcelona (K) as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Barcelona (K) had 67% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 33%, shots finished 22-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barcelona (K) had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Barcelona (K) and 0.60 for Real Madrid (K).
What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Barcelona (K) 5-0 Real Madrid (K) in the Spain - Women's Super Cup on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 62%, draw 28%, Real Madrid (K) 9%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.