St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St. Pauli v Union Berlin — Team-Based Signals
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin — Actual Match Statistics
St. Pauli swept aside Union Berlin 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; St. Pauli found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.
On the day, St. Pauli had 44% of the ball to Union Berlin's 56%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 1.24 to 1.08.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Berlin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Pauli and 1.83 for Union Berlin.
What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Union Berlin?
St. Pauli 3-0 Union Berlin in the Germany - Bundesliga on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Union Berlin?
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 36%, draw 29%, Union Berlin 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.