Türkspor Dortmund 0-3 MSV Duisburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
25%
5.71
Away Pick
59%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
40%
4-5
25%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
42%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
MSV Duisburg win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
14%
+10.6pp
59%
Away Win
76%
-17.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Türkspor Dortmund The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg The Market 81%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.99/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -19%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
235 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Türkspor Dortmund
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MSV Duisburg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
03.08.2024 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 5-0 HT 3-0 Türkspor Dortmund ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Türkspor Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg cruised past Türkspor Dortmund 3-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Türkspor Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg?

Türkspor Dortmund 0-3 MSV Duisburg in the Germany - Regional League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Türkspor Dortmund vs MSV Duisburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Türkspor Dortmund 16%, draw 25%, MSV Duisburg 59%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
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