Perth Glory (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 26 Jan 2025

📅26/01/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.71
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
52%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+13.3pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.8pp
52%
Away Win
61%
-9.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 66%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.18/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/0.28
+92% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 83%
12.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
12.5 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory (K)
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.73 xG 1.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 363
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.11.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
24.03.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
20.01.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
28.10.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
05.11.2017 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-4 HT 1-1 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory (K)
3-2
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
2.06 xG 1.31
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
199 Passes 265
65% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 26
POST-MATCH Perth Glory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory (K) squeezed past Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Roar (K) at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 44% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 56%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 2.06 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 1.40 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Perth Glory (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 31%, draw 17%, Brisbane Roar (K) 52%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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