Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 26 Jan 2025

Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-0 HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix (K)
📅26/01/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.8pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Coast Mariners (K) v Wellington Phoenix (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.90/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.17
-51% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.4 Crosses 13.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.37
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
210 Passes 356
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
12.01.2024 Wellington Phoenix (K) Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-2 HT 1-2 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) AVUSTW

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners (K)
1-0
AWAY Wellington Phoenix (K)
1.06 xG 1.18
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
268 Passes 300
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
11 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners (K) nicked a narrow win over Wellington Phoenix (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Central Coast Mariners (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners (K) had 50% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix (K)'s 50%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.06 to 1.18.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-0 Wellington Phoenix (K) in the Australia - W-League on 26/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners (K) vs Wellington Phoenix (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wellington Phoenix (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners (K) 34%, draw 30%, Wellington Phoenix (K) 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wellington Phoenix (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
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